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Speaker 1: This is not the first time that the Ukrainians have found themselves on the wrong side of

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Speaker 1: the Trump administration in general and Elon Musk and Donald Trump in person. And they find

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Speaker 1: ways around what they will be. I don't know. Maybe we'll just get some much longer fiber

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Speaker 1: optics. We're going to have some that are 50 kilometers long, which is nuts. they'll

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Speaker 1: probably have to fly further and around more electronic warfare which will probably

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Speaker 1: restrict their overall range but keep in mind that month by month by month the ukrainians

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Speaker 1: are extending the envelope of what they can hit and we now have some of their rocket drones

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Speaker 1: basically striking over a thousand miles from the front so this is a problem this is a

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Speaker 1: complication but this is not like the biden administration where the white house had a veto

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Speaker 1: over what the Ukrainians could target. Back then, the United States provided nearly as much

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Speaker 1: military aid as the Europeans, and so when the Biden administration said, hey, we don't

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Speaker 1: want you to strike refineries, the Ukrainians had to take that very seriously. Under Trump,

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Speaker 1: aid has gone to zero, and so now that we basically have the Americans not even warning the

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Speaker 1: Ukrainians about incoming missile volleys, they don't see a reason to listen

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Speaker 1: because they don't see anything else that they can lose. Their biggest problem is going to

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Speaker 1: be they're not going to see the missiles coming in that are targeting population centers

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Speaker 1: but since they've run out of interceptors

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Speaker 1: there's not a lot they could have done anyway. This will generally will absolutely generate

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Speaker 1: more civilian casualties and we do look to be seeing a general breach between the Trump

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Speaker 1: administration and Ukraine but it's all based on the mood of one man who draws his

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Speaker 1: conclusions based on information that sometimes he makes up in his head.

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Speaker 1: That could change in a heartbeat and the moment Trump realizes that Putin is not his friend

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Speaker 1: and has really just been playing him for two years you know things could change

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Speaker 1: dramatically but it's been two years and refuse to believe that so far, so I don't think

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Speaker 1: that's going to happen anytime soon. Anyway, a lot of pieces in motion. Bottom line is the

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Speaker 1: front, which was starting to move again because the Ukrainians had not just achieved the

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Speaker 1: initiative, but they'd have achieved technological superiority over the Russians. It's

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Speaker 1: probably going to stall until the Ukrainians can figure out a way to provide guidance to

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Speaker 1: those mid -range drones again. That could take a week, that could take six months, that

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Speaker 1: could take a year who knows um this war changes what this word is changes about every 60

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Speaker 1: days