1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:03,700 Speaker 1: If the debt can't be canceled and it's not going to be paid off, well then is this just 2 00:00:03,700 --> 00:00:07,960 Speaker 1: slowly going to keep getting worse or will something actually break? I want to show you a 3 00:00:07,960 --> 00:00:12,520 Speaker 1: tweet from someone who spent 30 years trading U .S. interest rates, but his answer is yes, 4 00:00:12,740 --> 00:00:18,080 Speaker 1: this breaks and probably very soon. The 30 -year rate is at 5 .6 % right now. He says that 5 00:00:18,080 --> 00:00:23,020 Speaker 1: we will soon see 6%, maybe 7%, and within the next six months, we find out what it looks 6 00:00:23,020 --> 00:00:26,920 Speaker 1: like when the treasury market breaks. His whole argument basically comes down to this idea 7 00:00:26,920 --> 00:00:30,640 Speaker 1: of what's called a fulcrum, right? The fulcrum is the point in the middle that everything 8 00:00:30,640 --> 00:00:35,740 Speaker 1: sort of balances on. Now, in the financial system, that is the U .S. Treasury market, aka 9 00:00:35,740 --> 00:00:40,900 Speaker 1: the bond market. Every loan, every mortgage, every stock price depends on it. And his rule 10 00:00:40,900 --> 00:00:46,460 Speaker 1: as a trader is that you never mess with this fulcrum. But we did. How is the U .S. stock 11 00:00:46,460 --> 00:00:51,780 Speaker 1: market worth more than every market in the world combined? His answer is the U .S. got 12 00:00:51,780 --> 00:00:56,200 Speaker 1: access to cheap money, leaning on the bond market, which was effectively fueled by the most 13 00:00:56,200 --> 00:01:01,420 Speaker 1: rock -solid stable asset in the world, real estate. So the bond market holds up everything. 14 00:01:01,720 --> 00:01:04,600 Speaker 1: And who was holding up the bond market? For a long time, it was China.